Your Subtitle text
Mid Hudson Weather
Serving Orange, Ulster, Dutchess, Putnam, Sullivan, Greene & Columbia Counties

Current Conditions:
Click for Brewster, New York ForecastClick for Middletown, New York ForecastClick for Monticello, New York ForecastClick for Newburgh, New York ForecastClick for Poughkeepsie, New York ForecastClick for Warwick, New York Forecast
Click on any city above for wunderground.com forecast

Watches and Warnings: (CLICKABLE LINK BELOW)

 
 NONE  
.

                 CURRENT RADAR
New York State Radar
  (click to enlarge)

-
 Local Interactive Radar -

10:45pm Storm Update

Well... it's April 15th... and it's snowing.  Snow is melting on impact with road ways, but the snow is turning to slush on most other surfaces.  Temps are generally 30º to 35º... and winter is making one last stand.  I had insisted for days and days that this was not going to happen... so I'll take the blame for jinxing it.  I suppose if I had said we would see an inch or two... that no snow would have fallen.

Expect the wet snow to continue until some time after 12am.  Most areas will taper off between 12am and 3am.  Total snowfall of a slushing coating to a half inch is possible in valley areas (roads just wet), with 1 to 3 inches possible in higher elevations.  I'm going to be working on the evening update, so if another post is required, I'll have it for you.

.
Detailed Weather Update :  (Mon 4/14 11:10pm)

We fell one degree shy of tying the record high on Monday.  The Poughkeepsie high temperature on Monday was 79º... the record of 80º was set in 1960... and will remain for at least one more year.  The last 3 days have been down right spectacular... but that is all coming to an end on Tuesday.

Tuesday will start out above normal... and finish below normal.  Temps will be in the low 60s for a good portion of the day.  You'll have hard time enjoying it, however... because periods of rain will be around thru the day.  By early to mid afternoon... areas of steady and heavier rain can be expected.  Rain will last thru the afternoon and into the evening.

At the same time... a powerful cold front will move thru the Hudson Valley during the afternoon hours, and shift the wind from the south, to the northwest.  Sometime between 3pm and 7pm, the front should move thru... and temperatures will begin to plummet.  We'll go from low 60s in the middle of the afternoon... to mid 30s by midnight.  So that's a temperature drop of nearly 30 degrees in about 9 hours... it's going to be a wild ride Tuesday night.

Now to address the snow situation.  I've been insisting for days that the computer models have been over aggressive on the snow idea.  I've fallen for it too many times this winter... so I'm holding my ground.  I've posted the Detailed Local Forecast on the top right, and am conceding the potential for rain to mix with wet snow before ending, but no accumulation.  The model data is insisting on a coating to an inch or two.... with 2 to 4 inches in higher elevations.  I'm going to show you some of the model data in the Storm Update section.  But to be clear... multiple times this winter I've seen this scenario and fallen for it, changing the forecast.  I'm not biting this time.  You might see a few wet snow flakes mixing in at the end... but we've spent 3 days in the 70s... any snow that mixes in... would melt on contact.  We'll see if I'm right... or if my stubbornness causes me to blow a forecast.  Ah the fun.

I'm going to call it a night.  The weather quiets down behind this storm... just a good bit cooler.  Stay dry on Tuesday... it's going to be a soaker at times... and then be sure to bundle up late Tuesday night.....

------------------------------------------

Skywarn Class Offered May 12th (click for more info)
- Tired of not seeing your town reported in snow totals?
- Don't think your town's snow totals are accurate?
Taking a Skywarn course could allow you to report your totals to the National Weather Service, and there is a local one soon...

------------------------------------------

MHW Article in New Paltz Times
.

A month ago, Deb, an editor at Ulster Publishing, contacted me about a possible story for the New Paltz Times.  They wanted to do a profile on me personally, and MHW.  Well, the article came out in last week's edition of the New Paltz Times... and as of Tuesday morning, it was posted online
:
Link to New Paltz Times article here

I want to thank Mike Townshend for writing the piece.  We had a chance to speak for a little less than an hour, and he did a nice job of summarizing my trademark rambling.  I also want to thank Lauren Thomas, who had the unenviable task of trying to capture an image of me where I didn't look like a clown.  I'm not photogenic, which made her job that much harder.  But we had some fun with it... as my broken umbrella actually got turned inside out by the wind.  I am flattered that there is even interest in such a thing for MHW.  So thank you to everyone up there at New Paltz Publishing for giving me a chance to introduce myself to a potentially wider audience...


Please send any questions or comments to my e-mail account.  You can also use Facebook to contact me.

. 

MHW Storm Updates on:
 
Follow as a fan, and stay on top of the storm
,

MHW Business Friends of the Week


Click here for the Complete List of Friends of MHW
 

.

 **Get notified of pending Winter Storms by e-mail**


For the 2013 - 2014 winter season, I will continue to notify readers by e-mail of pending winter storms.  

To get on the list, email me at : bill@midhudsonweather.com.

I will use this service to give you advance notice (2 to 3 days) on the potential for significant weather events.  These are potential storms that could have a high impact on our area.  Smaller storms, while still potentially hazardous, may not generate an e-mail.

Feel free to e-mail me at any point to be added or removed from this list..
.

Storm Grading Relocated
I've been updating the look and feel of parts of MHW, and decided that the 'Winter Storm Forecast Accuracy' section needed to be reinvented.  Instead, I plan to do a 'storm recap' after each storm... and then archive it. 
I've graded myself since the start of MHW, and will continue to evaluate my performance, so that I can give you the reasons behind the success or failure of a forecast.
.

Bio...

I graduated from Wallkill Senior HS.  I graduated from SUNY Albany with a Bachelor of Science in Accounting.  I took a handful of meteorology courses in college, but chose not to major in meteorology because I didn't want to ruin my passion for the weather by making it a 'job'... I have been forecasting the weather since 1992.  I am NOT a licensed meteorologist, but have 20+ years experience in weather forecasting and knowledge of weather phenomenon.  I created this website in 2008, because having lived in the valley all my life, I know that a detailed, reliable forecast is sometimes difficult to come by, especially in the winter.  My goal is to provide a forecast that is centered on the Mid Hudson Valley... get you the info in a direct and useful format... and provide a little entertainment along the way.  I do have a full time job, and I operate this site in my free time... Hope you enjoy it!
                   MHW 5 Day Forecast

  Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
 
  Sunny &
Breezy
Mostly
Sunny
Clouds &
Sun
Scattered
Showers
Partly
Cloudy
High Mid 40s Low 50s Mid 50s High 50s Low 60s
Low Mid 20s Mid 20s Low 30s Low 30s Mid 30s
           
                       Detailed Local Forecast
                                (     Updated : Monday 9:40pm 
                                   
Tuesday:  Periods of rain and wind.  Rain could be heavy at times during the afternoon, even a rumble of thunder possible.  High in the low 60s, temperatures falling into the 40s during the late afternoon.  Chance of rain 90%.
                                 
Tuesday Night:  Steady rain, becoming periods of light rain.  Light rain could mix with wet snow before ending around midnight... turning much colder.  Low in the upper 20s.  Chance of precipitation 80%.  Areas of black ice possible overnight.  Snow accumulation of a slushy 1 to 3 inches possible in the mountains.
            
Wednesday:  Mostly sunny, windy and much colder.  High only in the mid 40s.
                                 
Wednesday Night:  Clear and very cold, a hard freeze likely.  Low in the mid 20s.
            
Thursday:  Partly cloudy and chilly.  High only in the low to mid 50s.
.
Today's Averages
 
High Temperature:  61º      Low Temperature:  37º
 
April so far (4/14) + 4.8º vs. Average
.
 
STORM UPDATE
(UPDATED 4/14/14) 
 
PURE SPECULATION
(UPDATED 4/11/14)
 
STORM RECAP
(UPDATED 3/13/14)
 
.
Poughkeepsie March Statistics:

- Monthly Temperature was 5.2º Below Average

- Coldest March on record since 1996 (also 5.2º Below Avg.)

- 21 of 31 days saw below normal temperatures
    (11 days were colder than 10 degrees below average)

- Temp dropped below 0º in March for 1st time since 2003
    (-2º on March 4, 2014 .... -9º on March 7, 2003)

- Total Poughkeepsie Snowfall for the month : 0.1"

- Record Low Temperature of 0º set on March 1, 2014
.
.

POUGHKEEPSIE SNOWFALL STATISTICS
as of 4/5/14:

Normal Annual Snowfall  38.9" 
Actual 2012 - 2013 Snowfall  40.9" 
Actual 2013 - 2014 Snowfall  59.4" 
.
MHW : BEYOND THE BASICS

Beyond the Basics is a section that takes an indepth look at recent and pending weather events and other weather related topics.


SOCIAL MEDIA HYPE & FEAR: PART 2
posted: Monday 2/24/14 @ 11:55pm

I saw a map shared on Facebook a few times in the past 24 hours, and I've spent a day trying to "get over it"... but I just can't.  It goes back to the same thing that I posted an article about a month ago.  An online weather provider based out of California... run by a man with the same credentials as me... posted this map on Sunday
...
(click to read entire article)

 
VIEW PREVIOUS POSTS


.
.
Website Builder